Actor Matt Damon speaks out on the Republicans' choice of hockey-mom Sarah Palin for VP. Damon compares her rise to a 'really bad Disney movie' and says it's crazy that this woman could become President. (Sept. 10)
Matt Damon says in the video that if you look up the actuarial tables there is a one in three chance that McCain will die within the next four years. Damon then boldly challenges us to "do the actuarial tables".Well, I did...and Damon is off...WAY off.The actuarial tables supplied by the U.S. government indicate a one in seven chance, NOT a one in three chance.Take a look at http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/STATS/table4c6.htmlIf you add up the four years for males from ages 72 to 75 you get 0.151985 which translates to about 1/7th or one in 7.
Fact Checking Damon on McCain's life expectancy:Can McCain Survive the Presidency? Life expectancy: 87.9Gawker: John McCain's Life Expectancy: "A cursory glance at the statistics shows that a 72-year-old male has a 3.3% chance of dying within the year—and a relatively modest 15% likelihood he won't last the four years of a presidential term. So, Matt Damon: about half right. Hey, that's not bad for a Hollywood actor!"McCain's Life Expectancy "John McCain has a 20% chance of dying before his first term would be complete, and a 44% chance of dying before the end of his second term.At least, that's my best calculation according to actuarial tables. "
Damon says, "I need to know if she really thinks dinosaurs were here 4000 years ago, that’s an important…I want to know that. I really do. Because she’s going to have the nuclear codes. I want to know if she thinks dinosaurs were here 4000 years ago. "Snopes says: FALSE